Independence "Inevitable" Believe Most Scots

A majority of Scots are still sceptical about independence but most think it is inevitable by 2045 at the latest.

Independence is backed by 47% of people in Scotland, slightly more than the 45% who voted Yes last September, according to a Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times.

The result mirrors a YouGov poll for sister paper The Times yesterday which found 48% support for independence. Other recent polls have put support for independence as high as 53%

Over two thirds of people in the latest Panelbase poll believe independence is inevitable within 30 years.

Just under a third (31%) think it is likely in five to 10 years, up from 25% in April, nearly a quarter (24%) think it will happen in 10 to 15 years, while over a tenth (12%) think it will happen in 20 to 30 years.

More people (45%) believe Scotland would be financially worse off under independence than those who think it would be better off (36%) while 8% are unsure.

Ms Sturgeon has pledged to set out the circumstances under which she would sanction another referendum in the SNP's 2016 Holyrood manifesto.

Senior SNP politicians have suggested a vote to leave the EU against Scotland's will, a failure to meet their expectations of more powers, a vote to renew Trident, ongoing austerity and perhaps a decision to go to war in Syria as possible triggers.

Recently Played Tracks

To listen live, choose your preferred location:


On TV: Have To Love Them! 60 Guilty...

11am - 3pm

Watch heart TV

  • The Jacksons Blame It On The Boogie



  • Cher Believe



  • Earth Wind And Fire Boogie Wonderland



  • Bangles Manic Monday



Heart VIP


Autumn Weather

Find your local four day weather report here.

Listening To Radio Win With Heart

Make Heart the soundtrack to your day and you could be a winner with great prizes up for grabs throughout the day.

Shopping Our Advertisers

Find out more about some of the companies advertising on Heart Scotland- East.

Follow Heart on Twitter